Re: SotF Board Mafia Game Thread!
Posted: Fri Apr 03, 2020 12:32 am
ok so possible scenarios re: why no one died last night
1. scum (zetsu or boogie) hit me, and i was being doctored. this strikes me as super unlikely considering irina Straight Up Said she was gonna doctor me, why waste a kill like that if you're actually intending to kill someone? there's an outside chance scum thinks irina was lying and was actually vanilla or smth, but that seems kinda. dumb, at this stage
2. scum (zetsu or irina) hit boogie, and he isn't being informed that he was hit. id file that under Mod Lying so i dismiss that possibility and also everyone knows boogie is bulletproof so again, waste of time for scum.
3. scum (boogie or zetsu or irina!!!) withheld the kill on purpose.
as you can probably tell from my tone here i think we're on scenario #3. reasons theoretically why each person left alive would want to do that:
irina: she's already heard our plan and knows that we plan to lynch her today. by not killing anyone overnight she can hopefully sow confusion for another phase. presumably having more available targets is helpful, considering both boogie and zetsu have been strong town players up until this moment; she presumably hopes she can swing one of them against the other.
zetsu: if she's scum at this point she literally can't kill anyone without screwing herself; boogie is bulletproof and i'm presumably safe via doctor if irina isn't lying, so her only possible target is irina, which sits her in f3 with two people she's basically cleared. not a great position to be in! so going no-kill was basically her only option.
boogie: the least likely, because he could have just killed zetsu and i probably would have gone right along with lynching irina in that case. i dont super see an upside on this for him. i might have been more suspect if he said he was hit, but he didnt.
i do still think irina is the most likely option, but i'd like to hear from her before swinging to act. it would be galaxy-brain play for zetsu to have set all of this up as scum, especially since she seemed perfectly willing to lynch herself last night, but maybe she was betting on us following the yugi train instead of swapping to her? again, galaxy-brain plays either way.
「What do you think, everyone?」
1. scum (zetsu or boogie) hit me, and i was being doctored. this strikes me as super unlikely considering irina Straight Up Said she was gonna doctor me, why waste a kill like that if you're actually intending to kill someone? there's an outside chance scum thinks irina was lying and was actually vanilla or smth, but that seems kinda. dumb, at this stage
2. scum (zetsu or irina) hit boogie, and he isn't being informed that he was hit. id file that under Mod Lying so i dismiss that possibility and also everyone knows boogie is bulletproof so again, waste of time for scum.
3. scum (boogie or zetsu or irina!!!) withheld the kill on purpose.
as you can probably tell from my tone here i think we're on scenario #3. reasons theoretically why each person left alive would want to do that:
irina: she's already heard our plan and knows that we plan to lynch her today. by not killing anyone overnight she can hopefully sow confusion for another phase. presumably having more available targets is helpful, considering both boogie and zetsu have been strong town players up until this moment; she presumably hopes she can swing one of them against the other.
zetsu: if she's scum at this point she literally can't kill anyone without screwing herself; boogie is bulletproof and i'm presumably safe via doctor if irina isn't lying, so her only possible target is irina, which sits her in f3 with two people she's basically cleared. not a great position to be in! so going no-kill was basically her only option.
boogie: the least likely, because he could have just killed zetsu and i probably would have gone right along with lynching irina in that case. i dont super see an upside on this for him. i might have been more suspect if he said he was hit, but he didnt.
i do still think irina is the most likely option, but i'd like to hear from her before swinging to act. it would be galaxy-brain play for zetsu to have set all of this up as scum, especially since she seemed perfectly willing to lynch herself last night, but maybe she was betting on us following the yugi train instead of swapping to her? again, galaxy-brain plays either way.
「What do you think, everyone?」